Saturday 3 April 2021

Bubble or a drop in the ocean? Putting Bitcoin’s $1 trillion milestone into perspective

On Feb. 19, Bitcoin’s (BTC) market capitalization surpassed $1 trillion for the first time. While this was an exciting moment for investors, it also concerned investors that the asset is in a bubble.

Although a handful of listed companies ever achieved this feat, unlike gold, silver, and Bitcoin, stocks potentially generate earnings, which in turn can be used for buybacks, dividends, or developing additional sources of revenue.

On the other hand, as Bitcoin adoption increases, those same companies will likely be forced to move some of their cash positions to non-inflatable assets, ensuring demand for gold, silver and Bitcoin.

In fact, data shows that diversification between Bitcoin and traditional assets provides better risk-adjusted performance for investors, which is getting increasingly difficult for companies to ignore.

Bitcoin continuing to push above the trillion-dollar mark is also easy to overlook until one compares it to the market cap of other significant global assets. To date, less than ten tradable assets have achieved this feat.

World’s 20 most profitable companies. Source: fortune.com

As depicted above, the world’s 44 most profitable companies combined generate more than $1 trillion in earnings per year. One must keep in mind that stockholders might as well reinvest their dividends into equities, but some of it might end up in Bitcoin.

$1 trillion is small compared to real estate markets

Corporate earnings are not the only flows that may trickle into scarce digital assets. Some analysts estimate that part of the real estate investment, especially those yielding less than inflation, will eventually migrate to riskier assets, including Bitcoin.

On the other hand, current holders of lucrative real estate assets might be willing to diversify. Considering the relatively scarce assets available, stocks, commodities, and Bitcoin are likely the beneficiaries of some of this inflow.

Global real estate markets. Source: visualcapitalist.com

According to the above chart, the global agricultural real estate is valued at $27 trillion. The U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates a return on farm equity at 4.2% for 2020. Albeit very raw data, considering there are multiple uses for agricultural real estate, it is quite feasible that the sector generates over $1 trillion per year.

As recently reported by Cointelegraph, there are 51.9 million individuals worldwide with $1 million or higher net worth, excluding debt. Despite representing only 1% of the adult population, they collectively hold $173.3 trillion. Even if those are unwilling to sell assets in exchange for BTC, an insignificant 0.6% annual return is enough to create $1 trillion.

If there’s a bubble, Bitcoin is not alone

These numbers confirm how a $1 trillion market capitalization for Bitcoin should not be immediately considered a bubble.

Maybe those Bitcoin maximalists are correct, and global assets are heavily inflated due to a lack of scarce and secure options to store wealth. In this case, which doesn’t seem obvious, a global-scale asset deflation would certainly limit BTC upside potential. Unless they somehow think a cryptocurrency can extrapolate global wealth, which seems odd.

Back to a more realistic worldview, the above comparison with equities, agricultural real estate, and global wealth also confirms how insignificant Ether’s (ETH) current $244 billion capitalization is, let alone the remaining $610 billion in altcoins.

Assuming none of the corporate profits or real estate yield will be allocated to cryptocurrencies seems unlikely. Meanwhile, a mere $100 billion annual inflow for Bitcoin is five times higher than the $20.3 billion newly-minted coins per year at the current $59,500 price.

For example, $100 billion flowing into Bitcoin would only be 5% of the $1 trillion yearly corporate dividends and 5% from global wealth or agricultural real estate returns. Even though the impact on gold’s $11 trillion market capitalization would be negligent, such allocations would certainly play a vital role in Bitcoin’s path to becoming a multi-trillion dollar asset.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.


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ETH smashes records, Bitcoin’s brilliant quarter, PayPal’s big move

Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.

Top Stories This Week

ETH breaks record all-time high amid fresh price surge

Ether? Record high! Binance Coin? Record high! Polkadot? Record high! Bitcoin? Flat as a pancake!

Altcoins have been in the driver’s seat this week, with Ether breaking $2,100 for the very first time — besting the ATH of $2,036 that was set on Feb. 20. Curiously, several coins belonging to so-called “Ethereum killer” blockchains have been thriving, too.

ETH’s price broke out against Bitcoin for the first time in 23 days on Thursday, not long after credit card giant Visa announced it was piloting a program that will allow its partners to use Ethereum’s blockchain to settle transactions made in fiat.

Traders have now become exceedingly bullish on Ether’s prospects and are expecting more upside in the short-term, with $2,500 now in play. In particular, there’s interest in the price activity we could expect in June and July when a major improvement proposal called EIP-1559 is set to overhaul Ethereum’s existing fee structure.

The celebratory atmosphere following ETH’s all-time highs was dampened as the gas fee crisis rumbles on. The cost of using this blockchain has surged 77% in recent days, taking the average fee to an eye-watering $22.97.

 

 

April Bulls Day? Bitcoin just closed its best March and Q1 in eight years

Bitcoin may be struggling to find its footing above $60,000 right now, but at least we can take succor in how well the cryptocurrency has performed so far this year.

Despite March being a historically dreary month — with losses in six of the past nine years — BTC delivered gains of 29.84% over this 31-day period. Better still, we’re now heading into April, where BTC has only suffered negative returns twice since 2013.

Across the first quarter of the year, covering January to March, Bitcoin also gained 103%, clocking up the best performance in eight years.

Traditionally, Q2 is the strongest time of the year for Bitcoin — with only two years seeing negative returns, both under 10%. Bulls will now have their sights set on surpassing the gains of 159% seen between April and June 2019.

In other upbeat developments, BTC has just closed six consecutive monthly green candles for the first time since April 2013, and should history repeat itself, we could see further parabolic gains this year.

 

PayPal to start letting U.S. customers pay in Bitcoin at global merchants

Bitcoin’s bounce back from $55,000 was likely fueled by PayPal’s announcement that crypto will now be accepted as a medium of exchange at millions of global merchants.

The new feature, Checkout with Crypto, means U.S. customers will be able to “seamlessly” use their digital assets to make purchases. PayPal also supports Ether, Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash.

Crypto will be converted into fiat as soon as the transaction takes place, and the payments giant says this will create “certainty of value and no additional transaction fees.”

PayPal CEO Dan Schulman said: “Enabling cryptocurrencies to make purchases at businesses around the world is the next chapter in driving the ubiquity and mass acceptance of digital currencies.”

One fly in the ointment here concerns how America’s taxman, the Internal Revenue Service, regards crypto as property rather than currency. This means that even spending Bitcoin that has risen in value could be regarded as a taxable event.

 

 

Coinbase expects direct listing on April 14

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has given its blessing for Coinbase to make its stock market debut, with the exchange confirming it will happen on April 14. It’ll feature on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol COIN.

Coinbase had been expected to go public in March but reportedly delayed its plans after paying a $6.5-million fee as part of a settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Crypto analyst Filbfilb says the direct listing could spark “increased volatility” for Bitcoin’s price, especially if Coinbase suffers immediate sell-offs like Deliveroo did during its ill-fated IPO in London.

In other developments, Messari has compiled a report concluding that the so-called “Coinbase effect” — a popular belief that new token listings on the exchange tend to outperform launches on other exchanges — is true.

 

Michael Jordan, Will Smith join $305-million funding round for NBA Top Shot maker Dapper Labs

Dapper Labs has raised $305 million in a star-studded funding round — meaning it now reportedly holds a valuation of $2.6 billion.

The company, which has brought CryptoKitties and NBA Top Shot to life, says it wants to go beyond American basketball and extend the “same magic” to other sports franchises.

In other news, intrepid Cardano developers have found a way to mint bootleg nonfungible tokens — despite the fact that the blockchain doesn’t support smart contracts yet. Meanwhile, The Weeknd announced he’s releasing his first NFT via Nifty Gateway, featuring “new music and limited edition art.”

Nifty Gateway has also announced that it is planning to become carbon-negative in the near future by calculating its emissions and purchasing twice as many carbon offsets each month.

The craze behind NFTs now appears to have reached peak parody, too, after NBC’s famed Saturday Night Live sketch show addressed nonfungible tokens in a skit featuring Kate McKinnon as U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

 

 

Announcement of the week

 

Markets Pro delivers up to 1,497% ROI as quant-style crypto analysis arrives for every investor

It’s now been a month since Cointelegraph Markets Pro launched — bringing professional crypto market intelligence to every investor.

New figures this week showed that 41 of the 42 trading strategies tested by Markets Pro are currently beating Bitcoin’s investment returns, and 36 of them are winning against an evenly weighted basket of the top 100 altcoins.

Two key features are offered to subscribers. The first is the VORTECS™ Score, which is derived from an algorithm that examines multiple different variables (including sentiment, tweet volume, price volatility and trading volume) and compares those with historically similar marketscapes. 

And the second is NewsQuakes™: alerts on events that have historically had a significant impact on an asset’s price over the following 24 hours. 

Cointelegraph Markets Pro is available exclusively to subscribers on a monthly basis at $99 per month, or annually with two free months included.

 

Winners and Losers

 

 

At the end of the week, Bitcoin is at $59,699.22, Ether at $2,111.64 and XRP at $0.63. The total market cap is at $1,965,398,828,338.

Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are Holo, BitTorrent and Helium. The top three altcoin losers of the week are Voyager Token, SwissBorg and Pundi X.

For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis

 

 

Most Memorable Quotations

 

“Expecting Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin for all of Q2.”

Rookie, crypto trader

 

“Is Theta actually worth all the hype? I am not sure because it’s too early to tell. I want to see how well their mainnet does.”

Marie Tatibouet, Gate.io chief marketing officer 

 

“SpaceX is going to put a literal Dogecoin on the literal moon.”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO and “Technoking”

 

“Bitcoin currently in between 2013 and 2017 tracks.”

PlanB, stock-to-flow model creator

 

“Tether-Winky, Buy the Dipsey, Laa Laa, Poor.”

@CryptoCred

 

“I do think Bitcoin is on an inevitable path to having the same market cap and then a higher market cap as gold.”

Mike Novogratz, Galaxy Digital CEO

 

“We are working closely with teams across the firm to explore ways to offer thoughtful and appropriate access to the ecosystem for private wealth clients, and that is something we expect to offer in the near term.”

Mary Rich, Goldman Sachs head of digital assets

 

“This is the first time you can seamlessly use cryptocurrencies in the same way as a credit card or a debit card inside your PayPal wallet.”

Dan Schulman, PayPal CEO

 

“A part of the problem with Bitcoin is 90% of it is not done in the United States. 90% of it is done in countries that have dirty energy. So that’s the reason why it’s considered to be a dirty activity.”

Francis Suarez, Miami mayor

 

Prediction of the Week

One BTC will be worth a Lambo by 2022, and a Bugatti by 2023: Kraken CEO

After previously declaring that Bitcoin will be worth “infinity” in the future (Digests passim), Kraken CEO is making a triumphant return to Prediction of the Week.

Speaking to Bloomberg, Jesse Powell was keen to offer alternatives to measuring Bitcoin’s value in dollars — by comparing future price action to high-end sports cars… which can also have their value measured in dollars.

Powell said that one Bitcoin, which is currently worth a Tesla Model 3, could be worth one Lambo by the end of this year… and one Bugatti by 2023.

He added: “There could be 10 times as many U.S. dollars out there a year from now, so it’s really hard to measure Bitcoin against the dollar.”

 

FUD of the Week 

 

iPhone user blames Apple for $600,000 Bitcoin theft via fake app

A scam cryptocurrency app in Apple’s App Store has reportedly swindled 17.1 BTC from one unsuspecting user.

Phillipe Christodoulou had thought he had downloaded official Trezor software, given how it had many five-star reviews. Little did he know that the company doesn’t currently provide such an app.

After entering his seed phrase, Christodoulou says his funds were stolen. His crypto haul was worth $600,000 at the time, but now it’s worth $1 million.

The Washington Post reports that he has now filed a report with the FBI, but it seems the victim is reserving most of his anger for the tech giant: “They betrayed the trust that I had in them. Apple doesn’t deserve to get away with this.”

Trezor spokesperson Kristyna Mazankova told Cointelegraph that the firm has been fighting fraudulent apps for years — but claimed the wallet company “never gets any response from either Apple or Google.”

 

Oops! A 100% Bitcoin hodl outperformed CNBC’s 2017 altcoin basket by 170%

Ah, 2017. A crazy time that was slap bang in the middle of the ICO boom.

An investment portfolio that was championed by CNBC at the time has now resurfaced, which was made up of 30% Bitcoin and 70% altcoins.

Four years on, those who invested $10,000 at the time would now have about $52,300. Had they just bought and hodled Bitcoin, they would now have over $140,000.

StatsBTC, which crunched the numbers, noted: “The 30% #BTC allocation is responsible for 75% of the return.”

South Korean government makes $10.5-million profit from four-year-old Bitcoin crime haul

South Korean prosecutors have finally sold a Bitcoin haul they confiscated from a criminal in 2017, and it’s worth $10.5 million more than it was at the time of the arrest.

This is believed to be the first time that authorities in the country have sold confiscated Bitcoin — and at the time the crypto was seized, it was worth a paltry $238,000.

In late March, the South Korean government enacted widespread crypto-specific laws for the first time, putting more pressure on exchanges and virtual asset service providers to use real-name trading accounts and to report their activities to Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit. 

 

Best Cointelegraph Features

 

A new era of content monetization? Blockchain tech can get you paid

Current content monetization systems are seen as broken, but some blockchain solutions claim to hold the key to solving their issues.

Making DeFi idiot-proof with Kava’s gamer CEO, Brian Kerr

Kerr says a major reason that decentralized finance has not yet hit the mainstream is that “93% of holders are never gonna touch their own keys.”

This is how to make — and lose — a fortune with NFTs

The rise of nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, has been nothing short of astounding this year. Google searches for “NFT” are up over 600% since mid-February.

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Here’s why April may be the best month yet for Bitcoin price

The U.S. dollar is starting to weaken once again as sellers are pushing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) downward, which could strengthen the momentum of Bitcoin (BTC) in the near term.

Alternative assets like Bitcoin and gold are priced against the dollar. Hence, when the DXY starts to drop, it often causes BTC to rally against the dollar.

BTC/USD (orange) vs. DXY (green). Source: Tradingview

Dollar’s share of global reserves is dropping fast

According to Holger Zschaepitz, a market analyst at Welt, the U.S. dollar’s share of global reserves is rapidly declining as countries like Russia are pursuing a de-dollarization strategy and opting for gold.

When the pandemic was declared in the first quarter of 2020, the demand for the dollar increased as investors fled to cash because it is the global reserve currency.

However, due to various factors including the presidential election and the negative outlook on COVID throughout last year, the dollar struggled to outperform other currencies like the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.

Zschaepitz said:

“OOPS! Dollar in decline. While Dollar’s share of global reserves initially increased at start of pandemic, it has since decreased & now stands at just 59%—1.5pp decline QoQ & lowest since 1995. Part of decline due to depreciation, but also due to active USD selling.”

If the decline of the U.S. dollar continues, there is a strong probability that Bitcoin will continue to rally in April.

Historically, April has been a strong month for Bitcoin throughout the past ten years, recording positive gains for five consecutive years since 2016.

Additionally, Danny Scott, the CEO of the Bitcoin exchange CoinCorner, said that the law of averages puts Bitcoin at $83,000 in April. He wrote:

“Law of averages gives #Bitcoin an $83,000 price target for April. Avg over 10 years in April +51%.”

Miners appear to be accumulating Bitcoin

Atop the favorable macro factors for Bitcoin, Lex Moskoviski, the CIO at Moskoviski Capital, pinpointed that miners recently began ramping up their BTC holdings.

On a single day, miners added 4,380 Bitcoin, which the quantitative trader and investor described as a growing trend. He said:

“Miners started really ramping up their positions. 4,494 #Bitcoin stacked today on aggregate. Another 4,380 #Bitcoin stacked by miners yesterday. Looks like a trend, indeed.”

BTC miner net position change. Source: Glassnode

When miners sell their holdings, Bitcoin typically sees a pullback as it can cause heavily leveraged orders in the futures market to see cascading liquidations. 

If miners are hoarding Bitcoin and stacking BTC with the expectations that the cryptocurrency will appreciate, it reduces the probability of a severe sell-off in the foreseeable future.

In the near term, whether Bitcoin remains above the $58,000 support area remains key. If it continues to consolidate above it, the chances of it seeing a strong breakout above the $60,000 resistance level greatly increases.


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Strategy Op-Ed: Why Hellmuth’s Limp Strategy is Bad for Poker

6 Questions for Wes Levitt of Theta Labs – Cointelegraph Magazine

We ask the buidlers in the blockchain and cryptocurrency sector for their thoughts on the industry… and we throw in a few random zingers to keep them on their toes!


 

This week, our 6 Questions go to Wes Levitt, head of strategy at Theta Labs.

At Theta Labs, Wes works on corporate strategy, marketing and press relations, and analytics. He has been a speaker on blockchain topics at conferences including the New York Media Festival, Blockchain Connect and NAB Streaming Summit, among others. Prior to joining Theta Labs, Wes spent eight years in investment roles at Mosser Capital, a real estate private equity firm; and Redwood Trust, a mortgage real estate investment trust focused on securitized debt. Wes is a CFA charterholder and holds a BS in economics from the University of Oregon and an MBA from the Haas School of Business at the University of California, Berkeley.

 


1 — If the world is getting a new currency, will it be led by central bank digital currencies, a permissionless blockchain like Bitcoin or a permissioned chain such as Diem?

If it’s only one, I would say CBDCs are more likely since governments are unlikely to give up the power of issuing their own currencies. But Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can exist alongside CBDCs and serve a different purpose. Even if Bitcoin never replaces the major fiat currencies (or their CBDC successors), it is hugely valuable by providing an alternative to them. The mere existence of Bitcoin, with its fixed supply and pseudonymous transactions, should force central banks to think twice about inflating their currency values away or forcing widespread surveillance on consumers.

It’s true that we aren’t seeing that yet with rampant money creation in the U.S. dollar, euro, Japanese yen, etc. in the past year — but that’s partly a function of Bitcoin and other crypto markets just being too small to be a workable alternative yet. But that’s changing quickly — you are seeing companies like MicroStrategy, Tesla and Meitu add Bitcoin to their corporate treasury, which becomes more and more feasible as Bitcoin’s market cap grows. Eventually, Bitcoin should grow large enough to be investable even at the scale of central banks, as an alternative or supplement to their gold holdings.
 

2 — Does it matter if we ever figure out who Satoshi really is, or was? Why, or why not?

I do think it matters, but that it’s best for Bitcoin if we never find out who Satoshi is/was. A real person will have a backstory, profession, country of origin, etc., which could only lead to division and bias in the crypto community. It’s better that Satoshi remain more of a legendary figure that people can interpret as they choose to. I think Satoshi himself realized this, and it’s why he chose to remain anonymous.

 

3 — What’s the silliest conspiracy theory out there… and which one makes you pause for a moment?

For silliest, I’ll go with a tie between QAnon and “Bill Gates putting tracking chips in the COVID vaccines.” Both are so stupid that they’ve become useful as a signaling device. If someone believes in one of those things, I can safely ignore anything else they say and save myself the time.

The one conspiracy theory I 100% believe is that David Stern regularly rigged the number-one pick in the NBA draft. Ewing to the Knicks in ’85, New Orleans getting Anthony Davis after Stern traded Chris Paul away, Lebron and Rose go to their hometown teams, the Cavs get three number-one picks in four years after Lebron leaves… way too many examples to have happened by accident!

 

4 — Other than the present day, in what time and in what country would you like to have lived?

I would have enjoyed mid-70s England, mostly for the music. You had the punk scene emerging with the Sex Pistols, The Clash, and The Damned, and many others. Iron Maiden and Motorhead are just getting started along with the whole NWOBHM [new wave of British heavy metal] scene. Plus, if you stick around until the late 70s/early 80s, you’ve got XTC and Depeche Mode and the Police just around the corner. One of the best five or so years in music you can find for a single country.

 

5 — Have you ever bought a nonfungible token? What was it? And if not, what do you think will be your first?

My first-ever NFT was purchased for just the price of some ETH for gas — I created it myself with Enjin back in 2018. This limited edition “Wes-branded” sword didn’t make it into any crypto games, sadly, but it was obviously a very cool concept, even if it was still a few years before the mainstream use of NFTs. The entertainment space is getting the most attention for NFTs right now, but the idea of taking legendary items with me between RPGs is still the use case that resonates with me the most. I’m not much of an art collector myself, but I could absolutely see myself ponying up for rare items that are interoperable between games — now, I can justify that this NFT purchase is an investment I could use across many different games in the future.

 

6 — What’s the unlikeliest-to-happen thing on your bucket list?

I’d like to live long enough to see humanity establish settlements on the Moon or Mars or other potentially habitable moons like Europa, and to travel there myself once that becomes feasible at a commercial level (i.e., without having to go through astronaut training just to go!) This still feels like too far away for my lifetime — we are 52 years post-Moon landing and barely any closer to permanent settlement. But the pace of technological discovery is always increasing, so I hold out hope that it will be in my plans for 2050 or so!

 

Stay positive, and keep building! Crypto goes through breakneck cycles of euphoria and despair — you have to take a step back and look at the big picture sometimes to keep your head on straight in this wild space.

 


 

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A Dream Come True for David “AtomBomb” Hendrix at Pearl River Poker Open

38% Ethereum futures premium signals traders anticipate $2,500 ETH

Now that Ether’s (ETH) price broke the $2,000 level, hitting all-time highs this week, traders became excessively bullish and are expecting more upside in the short-term. 

Some analysts believe Visa’s initial USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin transaction settlement on the Ethereum network kicked off the most recent rally. Others attribute the current Ether hike to a “triangle market structure” breakout.

Regardless of the cause behind the recent 25% rally, professional traders seem highly optimistic this time around. This conclusion can be reached by looking at the surging futures’ basis, which has reached its highest level ever.

This movement brings increased risks of cascading liquidations due to excessive buyer leverage, but professional traders seem confident, as shown by the delta skew indicator.

Ether (ETH) price at Coinbase, USD. Source: TradingView

Investors could be anticipating the protocol improvement proposal EIP-1559 set to go live in July, which aims to fix the surging gas fees. The upgrade intends to use flexible block sizes instead of the current fixed model, and it aims for a network utilization below 50%.

To assess whether professional traders are leaning bullish, one should start by analyzing the futures premium (also known as the basis). This indicator measures the price gap between futures contract prices and the regular spot market.

OKEx 3-month ETH futures basis. Source: Skew

The 3-month futures should usually trade with a 10% to 20% annualized premium, comparable to the stablecoin lending rate. By postponing settlement, sellers demand a higher price, causing the price difference.

The basis on Ether futures has matched its all-time high at 38%, indicating that it is costly for the leveraged longs. A basis level above 20% is not necessarily a pre-crash alert, but buyers’ overconfidence might pose a risk if the market recedes below $1,750.

It is worth noting that traders sometimes boost their leverage use during a rally but later purchase the underlying asset (Ether) to unwind the risk from futures.

Sometimes the fixed-month contracts’ high leverage is a consequence of perpetual futures aggressive buying by retail traders. Whales, arbitrage desks, and market makers avoid exposure on these contracts due to their variable funding rate.

Options markets are also leaning bullish

To correctly interpret how professional traders are balancing the risks of unexpected market moves, one should turn to the options market.

The 25% delta skew provides a reliable and instant “fear and greed” analysis. This indicator compares similar call (buy) and put (sell) options side by side and will turn negative when the neutral-to-bearish put options premium is higher than similar-risk call options. This situation is usually considered a “fear” scenario, although frequent after solid rallies.

On the other hand, a negative skew translates to a higher cost of upside protection and points toward bullishness.

Deribit 90-day ETH options 25% delta skew. Source: laevitas.ch

For the first time since Feb. 5, the options skew indicator is leaning bullish, although it is not far from the negative 10% neutral threshold. Furthermore, the “fear and greed” indicator has continuously improved over the past five weeks.

Part of the reason behind the modest optimism lies in fear of a sharp correction after crossing the $2,000 psychological barrier, similar to the one seen on Feb. 19.

This time around, however, the derivatives markets are healthy, and professional traders appear to be building up positions as Ether marks a new all-time high.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.


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Friday 2 April 2021

Altcoins move to new all-time highs while Bitcoin struggles below $60K

According to data from, Bitcoin’s (BTC) Q1 2021 performance was the best since 2013. With strong tailwinds, Bitcoin now enters Q2 which historically has been a good period for BTC price.

Data shows that BTC has only closed Q2 in the red twice and both times the decline was less than 10%. If history repeats itself, Bitcoin investors may witness sharp gains in the next six months. 

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

Altcoins have also participated in the current bull run and this has propelled the total crypto market capitalization to $1.99 trillion which is just short of the $2 trillion milestone.

Let’s take a look at some of the top-performing tokens to see which may continue to rally higher in the short term.

RUNE/USDT

The decentralized finance boom has attracted numerous new players. However, one of the problems facing investors is that the protocols are built on different blockchains.

This necessitates the need for a cross-chain protocol, enabling traders to swap tokens across the blockchains in a decentralized way and THORChain (RUNE) is attempting to do just that.

On March 26 the protocol teased that its multichain Chaosnet, which supports native cross-blockchain swapping across five chains is expected to go live soon.

This feature could attract several new investors who may lock their assets in THORChain for greater yields. If that happens, the total value of assets locked in THORChain could surge from the current $553 million TVL and add further benefit to RUNE investors.

Successful implementation of this feature could increase the demand for RUNE. On Feb. 23, Crypto investment firm Multicoin Capital also revealed a large position in RUNE.

RUNE rallied from an intraday low at $4.50 on March 25 to an intraday high at $8.93 today, a 98.44% rally in eight days. However, the long wick on today’s candlestick suggests profit-booking at higher levels.

RUNE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RUNE/USDT pair may retest the breakout level at $6.76. If the bulls can flip this level to support, it may act as a launchpad for the next leg of the uptrend that may reach $10.26.

The upsloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) in the overbought zone suggest bulls are in command.

If the bears sink the price below $6.76, the pair may drop to the 20-day exponential moving average ($6.24). A bounce off this support will indicate the sentiment remains positive and it may keep the uptrend intact.

This positive view will invalidate if the bears sink the price below the 20-day EMA. Such a move could pull the price down to the 50-day SMA ($5.36) and then to $4.50.

AKRO/USDT

The DeFi space is crowded and projects will have to think out of the box and introduce attractive products to stay ahead in the game. However, for the past few weeks, there have not been any major announcements from the Acropolis (AKRO) team.

High Ethereum gas fees continue to be a burden on users and that may have taken a toll. These could be some of the reasons why the protocol’s TVL is only at $37.31 million, according to a weekly update on March 31.

The team did mention that it is working on new vault strategies but it did not dish out too many specifics. In a bull market, almost everything rises, but projects that do not have a distinct advantage over their competitors struggle when the next downturn happens. Therefore, crypto investors should analyze the fundamentals of the projects and hold the ones that offer an edge over the others.

AKRO has risen from an intraday low at $0.042 on March 25 to $0.088 today, a rally of 109.50% in eight days. The token’s break above $0.072 completed a bullish ascending triangle pattern that has a target objective at $0.127.

AKRO/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the long wick on today’s candlestick suggests profit-booking at higher levels. The bears will now try to sink the price back below the breakout level at $0.072. If they succeed, the AKRO/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($0.060).

If the price rebounds off this level, the bulls will once again try to push the price above $0.072 and resume the up-move.

Conversely, if the bears sink the price below the 20-day EMA, the pair may drop to the trendline of the triangle. A break below this support will invalidate the bullish setup and signal a possible change in trend.

HNT/USDT

Helium (HNT) was featured by Cointelegraph on Feb. 9 when it was trading at $3.96. From there, the token rallied to $12.09 on March 28, a 205% rally in just under two months.

The protocol aims to build a decentralized wireless network and connect IoT devices at a fraction of the cost of the current cellular service providers. Since early February, the number of active hotspots has increased from 18,000 to 24,572.

This number is likely to increase as one of its third-party HNT miner suppliers said that it had shipped 2,000 miners to customers in China on March 31. If HNT’s popularity increases in China, the number of hotspots could continue to rise.

Helium recently partnered with Streamr, a decentralized platform for real-time data, which can help users transport, broadcast, and monetize data. Helium has also forged partnerships with several firms that provide various types of IoT solutions.

VORTECS™ data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro turned positive just as HNT was starting the rally on March 25.

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historic and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements and Twitter activity.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs.HNT price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As seen in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for HNT was in the green on March 25, just as the token started its rally from $7.09 to $11.38 on March 28.

The VORTECS™ Score again turned green on March 31 just before the start of the rally and it has remained in the green since then. HNT pric rallied from $9.67 to $11.98 during the period.

Currently, HNT is in an uptrend but the bears are trying to stall the up-move at $12. The bears had pulled the price down from this level on March 28 but the bulls purchased the drop to the 20-day EMA ($8.66) on March 31, indicating accumulation on dips.

HNT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising moving averages and the RSI in the overbought territory suggest the path of least resistance is to the upside. If the bulls can sustain the price above $12, the next leg of the uptrend could start. The next target objective on the upside is $14.56 and then $17.64.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price again turns down from $12, the bulls will try to sink the HNT/USDT pair below the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair could drop to the 50-day SMA ($6.04).

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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$161M Ethereum options expiry tilts toward bulls as ETH flips $2K to support

With no short-term solution in sight for the surging network fees, some investors are afraid that Ether (ETH) price could face a correction. The EIP-1559 proposal is set to be bundled with the impending London upgrade, and this will change the gas fee structure, but traders are left to deal with high fees until then.

The flexible block size proposal aims for a more predictable fee pricing model, but this upgrade is scheduled for July, meaning, in the short term, Ether could be subject to price pressure. Adding to this, miners have been expressing concerns as the new proposal aims to burn part of the fees to create scarcity, reducing their income by up to 50%.

To prepare for downside events, professional traders usually buy protective put options without reducing their positions, especially those farming and staking with high yields. Although these are generally costly for longer-term periods, the trades are also offered weekly or bi-weekly at some exchanges.

The put-to-call ratio favors bears, but there’s more to it

Unlike futures contracts, options are divided into two segments. Call (buy) options allow the buyer to acquire Ether at a fixed price on the expiry date. Generally speaking, these are used on either neutral arbitrage trades or bullish strategies.

Meanwhile, the put (sell) options are commonly used as a protection from negative price swings.

To understand how these competing forces are balanced, one should compare the calls and put options size at each expiry price (strike).

For those unfamiliar with options strategies, Cointelegraph recently explained how to minimize losses despite keeping a bullish position.

Aggregate Ether April 9 expiry open interest. Source: Bybt

The above data shows that Ether’s April 9 expiry holds 77,800 Ether contracts, worth $161 million at the current $2,070 level. Meanwhile, the call-put ratio favors the more bearish put options by 11%, dominating the strikes below $1,850. Meanwhile, bullish call options have crowded the scene above $1,900.

Despite the imbalance, the net impact leans bullish

Options markets are an all-or-nothing game, meaning they either have value or become worthless if trading above the call strike price, or the opposite for put option holders.

Therefore, by excluding the neutral-to-bearish put options 25% below the current $2,070 price and the call options above $2,480, it is easier to estimate the potential impact of next Friday’s expiry. Incentives to pump or dump the price by more than 25% become less likely as the potential gains will seldom surpass the cost.

This selection entices to 33,000 call options from $1,200 to $2,480 strikes, currently worth $68 million. Meanwhile, the more bearish put options down to $1,580, amount to 18,100 Ether contracts worth $37 million. Therefore, buyers have a slight advantage for April 9 expiry.

The balance between call and put options initially showed a call-to-put ratio favoring the more bearish put options. Nevertheless, by excluding the put options 25% below the current price, the net result clearly favors bulls. This reinforces the view that the April 9 expiry should not be deemed bearish.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.


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Bitcoin ‘on brink of strong breakout’ says analyst ahead of Coinbase IPO

Bitcoin (BTC) is primed for a price breakout after beating out volatility, but April may still produce a surprise sell-off.

In his latest market update on Friday, Filbfilb, co-founder of trading suite DecenTrader, said that he now expects upside to take over on BTC/USD.

BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: Tradingview

BTC “threatening a breakout”

Bitcoin has recovered from its flash crash earlier in the week and briefly hit $60,000 overnight on Friday. 

With seven-day gains still at 13%, there are plenty of reasons to be bullish in the short term now that consolidation looks set to conclude, Filbfilb argues.

“With the weekend looming amidst a buoyant week; it’s difficult not to be optimistic,” he summarized.

“I’m not thinking we will break out with as much ferocity, but I do think that we are on the brink of a strong breakout.”

A comparison worth noting is what happened to Bitcoin when it originally broke through $20,000 resistance. A pattern of sudden breakouts following a protracted period of consolidation and regression could end up characterizing $60,000 as well.

“A few weeks ago I shared this similar price action/market structure as what was seen around the $20k level, which had a correction back to c.50k before a violent breakout,” Filbfilb continued.

“Since then price has almost perfectly played ball with this idea and is now threatening a breakout.”

BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: Tradingview

Bulls to reckon with Coinbase IPO, options expiry

This breakout nonetheless faces challenges in the coming weeks. Coinbase, fully prepared for its initial public offering on April 14, may unwittingly spark downward price pressure.

As was the case this week with London-based Deliveroo, the debut of an IPO often results in selling at first, with the implications for Bitcoin being clear.

“We may see increased volatility around this time period of the 14th April and should pay particular attention to the time from here to options expiry at the end of the month,” Filbfilb concluded.

Bitcoin options open interest expiry dates. Source: Bybt

The end-of-month options expiry may also spook spot price temporarily — this having been very much in evidence at the end of March when expiring options hit a record $6 billion. In the end, however, the actual event itself had no impact on BTC’s performance.

“Lots more bull market to come,” statistician Willy Woo forecast.

Woo quoted on-chain analytics service Glassnode’s active BTC supply data, which likewise suggests that Bitcoin can rise more before old hodlers sell for profit, causing a cycle top.

Regardless of Coinbase’s IPO impact on the market this month, the analyst doesn’t see Bitcoin closing below $46,400 anytime soon. He said: 

“$46.4k is the price I’m modeling that we won’t visit again during in this bull market (daily close).”


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source https://cryptonews.wealthsharingsystems.com/2021/04/bitcoin-on-brink-of-strong-breakout-says-analyst-ahead-of-coinbase-ipo/

PokerNews Debate Series: Is Phil Hellmuth Only Good Against Bad Players?

The PokerNews Debate Series launched its first episode on Tuesday, March 30, 2021 with the series focusing on Sarah Herring moderating debates between PokerNews’ Mo Nuwwarah and Jason Glatzer about a variety of topics on the minds of those in the poker community.

The first episode of the PokerNews Debate Series focuses on whether Phil Hellmuth is only good against bad players with Nuwwarah being assigned “yes” while Glatzer was assigned to debate that he is good against good and bad players.

The topic is something many poker players have discussed in light of the highly-publicized High Stakes Duel II between Hellmuth and Daniel Negreanu to take place live at PokerGo on March 31.

The PokerNews Debate Series would like to be known for taking a no-holds-barred approach and pulling no punches… this series kicked off with a great example of that philosophy.

Note: Debators were assigned their position on this issue and their comments do not necessarily reflect their opinions or that of PokerNews.

Time Stamps

Time Topic
00:00 Countdown to the debate
10:22 Sarah Herring introduces the show, its concept/structure, and this week’s topic
14:35 Herring introduces debators Mo Nuwwarah and Jason Glatzer
17:53 Nuwwarah debates why Hellmuth is only good against bad players
21:40 Glatzer debates why Hellmuth is good against good and bad players
26:10 Nuwwarah’s rebuttal to Glatzer’s points
30:46 Glatzer’s rebuttal to Nuwarrah’s points
35:40 Nuwwarah’s final points
36:45 Herring opens up Q&A
37:02 Is it neccesary to incorporate solvers into your game?
43:07 Do you believe in White Magic?
45:17 Is Hellmuth playing the schtik of the old man that doesn’t know what’s going on
49:25 Discussing Hellmuth’s hand against Polk where Polk folded second nuts
56:04 Responses to Barny Boatman’s comment “I’ve been eeking a living for decades out of the bogus dichotomy between ‘good’ and ‘bad’ players.”
59:10 Discussion of the frequent swapping of action in high stakes tournaments with small fields
01:04:07 Are tournaments Hellmuth’s bread and butter or is he also good at cash games
01:08:28 Is Hellmuth predictible?
01:12:20 Herring concludes show

Tell us who you want to hear from. Let us know what you think of the show — tweet about the podcast using #PNDebate, and be sure to follow Sarah Herring, Mo Nuwwarah, and Jason Glatzer.

Check Out Past Episodes of the PN Podcast Here!


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Overpriced crap or new art history? – Cointelegraph Magazine

It’s been a heady few weeks for commerce and art.

Surely a revolution is afoot and we’re too mired in the hot mess to see it right.

With that proviso, here are two notes from the front lines.

NFTs are cutting-edge, digital art ain’t

Some folks say the non-fungible token (NFT) that allows a digital artwork to be possessed exclusively by a purchaser is traceable to the creation of Colored Coins in 2012 — or to CryptoPunks in 2017 — even though the this market exploded just the other day.

 

Lissajou Optical Representation of Sound VibrationsA page from Jules Antoine Lissajous’s A Study of the Optical Representation of Sound Vibrations, 1957

 

But digital art (DA) itself has an older pedigree.

As early as 1857, the Frenchman, Jules Antoine Lissajous (1822–1880) published images of mathematically-designed “Lissajous Figures” by capturing lines created by sound harmonies with a camera. These figures had been identified 42 years earlier by the American, Nathaniel Bowditch (1773 -1838) — it’s just that Bowditch didn’t render them as pictures.

 

 

The first art piece fully recognized as computer-made, and hence, “digital,” was Oscillon 1 made in 1950 by the American computer scientist Ben Laposky (1914–2000). He called these pieces “Oscillons” or “Electrical Compositions.” They were Lissajous Figures of a complex type. A 1953 show of his work in Cherokee, Iowa designated them “electronic abstractions.”

 

Laposky Oscillon 45Ben Laposky, Oscillon 45, 1952

 

Laposky inspired other digital artists, producing the medium’s first major show in 1965, in Stuttgart, headlined by Frieder Nake (b. 1938) and the first museum show, “Cybernetic Serendipity,” at London’s Institute of Contemporary Arts three years later.

DA’s emphasis on geometric abstraction piggy-backed on the world’s excitement for Pollock and the swarm of Abstract Expressionists roiling the cultural waters of that day. The optical gamesmanship and clean rendering of DA designs also lent momentum to early 1960s Op Art.

 

Frank Stella Untitled

Op Art: Frank-Stella, Untitled, 1966

 

DA’s entrancement with crisp linearity, geometry, and images categorized by number persists to this day.

Major digital art collections exist at the Whitney, MOMA, the Walker Art Center, and other juggernauts of the art world; and over a dozen museums dedicated to digital art now exist — from Zurich’s MuDa, to Tokyo’s Mori Museum of Digital Art, to the Center for Digital Art in LA.

NFT pics: Easy on the eyes, but not museum-ready

Beeple (Mike Winkelmann at beeple-crap.com — the man who created the $69 million Everydays) said we’re witnessing “The next chapter of art history.”

I differ.

New chapters of art history are written by artists making new art.

But this is a chapter being written by artists (and their advocates) making novel financial moves.

This is a new chapter in financial history.

 

Manzoni Artist's ShitPiero Manzoni, Artist’s Shit, 1961

 

It’s true, Damien Hirst and others have performed financial acts as aesthetic ones. Artists have sold air, shit, and invisibility as conceptual advancements, but that’s not what’s happening this month.

When this art is attached to an NFT and sold for piles of crypto, it’s not showcased as an artistic performance.

Heaps of new market fluidity are is being leveraged, but no fresh aesthetic concepts is are shaping the action.

As of this writing, the overwhelming majority of images moving into NFT collections for slag-heaps of Ethereum are more akin to 1950s paperback covers than digital art productions that have migrated to museums and marquee galleries for years.

 

Beeple Infinity and Beyond

Beeple, Infinity and Beyond, 2015

 

Though it’s main inspiration is anime, computer games, and comic books, this NFT-drop will surely persist in the field of cultural reference for decades, and, I will confess, there IS an art-historical development here, but I don’t think it’s the one Beeple is thinking of.

This moment is an A-bomb explosion in the larger fragmentation and recombination of kitsch and high art that’s been going on for one long, bloody D-Day since Andy Warhol’s first art show in 1962.

We can point to Toulouse Lautrec (1864 -1901), Stuart Davis (1892 -1964), and handy Andy (1928 -1987) as the dudes who threw the first blow, but the master bomb-maker in today’s fractured landscape is certainly Brian Donnelly (b. 1974), better known as the comic-figure maker, KAWS (. . . with apologies to Takashi Murakami).

 

KAWS Small LiesKAWS, Small Lies, 2020

 

It’s true, this could be a new eruption of low-brow taste (as folks have said of the emergence of KAWs and Warhol), but I don’t think that’s the case.

There’s just a whole tuna school of new-money millionaires splashing around the planet who are used to Neuromancerstyle imagery — and they’re buying whatever they like.

It’s no art revolution.

It’s no change in taste.

It’s just the emergence of some delightfully new destinations for loads of disposable income.

That said, I’m confident that a cultural counterweight of historical artists will be joining marquee first-adopters like Kenny Scharf in the NFT market any minute now.

At the rate things are evolving, I’ll bet my bottom Bitcoin that as these wild, explosive, and strangely historical weeks round out the month, blockchain money will begin to chase higher-grade art commodities, just as it now chases CryptoKitties, video snippets, and original tweets.


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DeFi TVL quietly climbs to record highs while the NFT boom subsides

Hype cycles can work wonders for token prices and social media statistics, but they also bring increased pressure on developers to launch a functioning product that validates its rising market cap. 

As nonfungible tokens took center stage over the past six weeks the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector took a break from the spotlight as developers refined their protocols and sought out interoperable, Ethereum network alternatives.

Data from CoinGecko shows that the total value locked (TVL) on all DeFi platforms has steadily grown since the market pullback at the end of February, with the TVL for the entire DeFi sector now standing at a record-high of $74 billion.

A closer look at the list of protocols shows that some of the biggest gains over the past seven days were on protocols operating on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC). BSC has emerged as one of the go-to competitors for the Ethereum (ETH) network thanks to low fees, cross-chain capabilities, and connections to the entire Binance ecosystem.

PancakeSwap (CAKE) and Venus (XVS) have both seen their TVLs increase by more than 30% over the past week while THORChain (RUNE) and Alpha Finance (ALPHA) have increased 61% and 47%, respectively.

Top 10 total value locked  DeFi ranking. Source: Defi Llama

Notable gains from Ethereum based projects include a 26% gain in TVL for AAVE and Balancer (BAL), while the newly launched Vesper (VSP) protocol has rapidly amassed $1.64 billion over the past six weeks, reflecting a 35% increase in the the past seven days.

DeFi tokens rally higher

Alongside the rising TVL has been a rise in the token price of many of the top protocols as savvy traders accumulated during the February lows while crypto and mainstream news blasted daily coverage of the latest record-breaking NFT sales.

Data from CoinGecko shows that the total market capitalization of all DeFi tokens has also surpassed the previous highs established in February and now totals a record $98.4 billion as institutional money continues to pour into Bitcoin (BTC) and the wider cryptocurrency sector.

Total market cap of the top 100 DeFi tokens. Source: CoinGecko

THORChain again tops the list for the biggest gains over the past seven days with its price increasing 88% to a new record high of $8.89, while JUST (JST) and Akropolis (AKRO) have both increased 57% and currently trade at $0.129 and $0.076 respectively.

Bitcoin (BTC) is now eyeing the $60,000 level again and Ether trades near $2,000, prompting calls from many across the industry for an approaching price surge, as seen in the following Tweet from Real Vision Group CEO Raoul Pal: 

Now that the NFT craze is subsiding, traders will look for the next sector to undergo a hype cycle and DeFi looks primed to see another leg in up as token prices, transactions and the TVL is on the rise again.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.


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source https://cryptonews.wealthsharingsystems.com/2021/04/defi-tvl-quietly-climbs-to-record-highs-while-the-nft-boom-subsides/

Ethereum season? ETH options traders are placing big bets for June

The price of Ether (ETH) is continuing to rally, reaching $2,000 on Friday on the back of strong technical momentum following a high-profile announcement from Visa.

As Cointelegraph previously reported on Sunday, Visa will allow its partners to use USD Coin (USDC) on the Ethereum blockchain network to settle transactions.

ETH futures total open interest. Source: Bybt.com

Since then, the interest in Ethereum across both futures and options markets is seeing an uptick, with the former approaching $7 billion, the highest in over a month. 

The options market for Ethereum is particularly optimistic

According to Cantering Clark, a cryptocurrency trader and analyst, the Ethereum options market shows big bets heading into June.

Ethereum options expiration. Source: Cantering Clark

The strike price with the highest open interest is $3,200. Although this does not necessarily mean that there is a high probability of ETH hitting $3,200, it indicates that there is significant interest at that price level. The trader said:

“Is it the start of $ETH season? Options market making some big bets into June. 3200 strike has a bullseye on it.”

While there could be multiple reasons why traders might be anticipating ETH to have surpassed $3,000 by June, one of the biggest factors is the much-anticipated EIP-1559 upgrade.

EIP-1559 is set to go live in July 2021, which would overhaul the existing fee structure of the Ethereum blockchain.

Simply put, the proposal burns fees that are paid in ETH rather than paying miners, which proponents say should stabilize fees for transacting on the Ethereum blockchain. As Cointelegraph reported, the cost of using the blockchain rose 77% over the past few days in line with a 31% increase in the price of Ether.

EIP-1559 essentially burns some of the ETH paid for transacting, which should reduce the circulating supply of ETH and hence put upward pressure on its value.

Since a lot of options targeting the June strike price would expire right before the EIP-1559 implementation, it means traders are expecting a rally going into the implementation phase.

Massive ETH outflows are also being spotted

Meanwhile, Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, points out that Ethereum has been seeing massive exchange outflows in the past few days.

Coinbase netflow. Source: CryptoQuant

Earlier this week, Ki noted that 400,000 ETH left Coinbase, which could signal a spike in institutional interest in ETH. He said:

“400k $ETH flowed out from Coinbase a few days ago. Speculative guess, institutions are now buying $ETH.”

Outflows often signal strong accumulation by institutions and high-net-worth individuals because when whales buy cryptocurrencies on an exchange, they typically move their holdings to self-hosted wallets.

Hence, the view is generally optimistic for Ethereum over the next few months because positive on-chain data is supplementing a strong fundamental catalyst in EIP-1559.

Atop this, the number of active addresses are continuing to increase with exchange reserves consistently declining, indicating rising user activity and demand for ETH.

Glassnode also reported that the number of non-zero addresses hit a new high, suggesting that user activity is on the rise.

Ethereum number of non-zero addresses. Source: Glassnode

Researchers at Glassnode said:

“Ethereum $ETH Number of Non-Zero Addresses just reached an ATH of 56,543,380.”


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Bitcoin beats out final resistance as Ethereum returns to $2K

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly hit $60,000 on April 2 in the latest installment of its slow grind back to all-time highs.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: Tradingview

BTC price taps $60,000

Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed bullish tendencies remaining overnight for BTC/USD, with local highs of $60,110 on Bitstamp.

A correction brought the pair down nearer to $59,000, circling $59,500 at the time of writing. 

The sustained higher levels mean that Bitcoin has effectively canceled out the flash crash from earlier this week, while still continuing to trade in a defined corridor.

For popular trader Crypto Ed, the outlook was for $60,000 to disappear as resistance based on fading selling pressure on exchanges. Higher than $70,000, however, may have to wait longer.

“I mentioned BTC target $73k and ETH $2300,” he wrote on Friday.

“From what I see now, ETH is on track. BTC not convinced yet it will reach that target in this cycle but I do think we’ll see a strong push above 60k (soonish).”

Others are more optimistic, with short-term estimates including $68,000 and $73,000 and 2021 targets exceeding $288,000.

BTC/USDT buy and sell levels (Binance) as of April 2. Source: Material Indicators

“The ~$57,500 area rejected BTC in February. But it looks like BTC turned this exact same level into support a couple of days ago,” fellow Twitter trader Rekt Capital added.

“Now it’s about follow-through from here. And we’re seeing some follow-through today.”

Ether at $5,000 “inevitable”

Crypto Ed touching on Ether (ETH) comes as the largest altcoin by market cap touched $2,000 for the first time since Feb. 20.

After dipping in line with Bitcoin price action, ETH/USD returned to form over the past week, seeing almost constant higher highs on daily timeframes to near its historic record of roughly $2,040.

ETH/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

As Cointelegraph reported, price targets for Ether are now more bullish than ever, and include $2,600 next, with $5,000 and even $10,000 in play.

The amount of ETH held by exchanges, like BTC, has been dropping sharply this year.

ETH exchange reserves vs. ETH/USD. Source: CryptoQuant


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Bubble or a drop in the ocean? Putting Bitcoin’s $1 trillion milestone into perspective

On Feb. 19, Bitcoin’s (BTC) market capitalization surpassed $1 trillion for the first time. While this was an exciting moment for investors...